376  
WTPZ22 KNHC 250834  
TCMEP2  
 
HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024  
0900 UTC FRI OCT 25 2024  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 123.9W AT 25/0900Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 932 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.  
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.  
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 123.9W AT 25/0900Z  
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 123.4W  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.2N 125.4W  
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.9N 127.2W  
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.9N 128.7W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.7N 129.6W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.8N 130.3W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 30SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 23.0N 131.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 123.9W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z  
 
 
FORECASTER BEVEN  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TPC Page
Main Text Page