836
WTNT42 KNHC 032032
TCDAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172024
900 PM GMT SUN NOV 03 2024
AFTER BEING DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION FOR MUCH OF THE DAY,
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REFORMED NEAR THE CENTER OF PATTY. THEREFORE,
PATTY WILL HOLD ITS SUBTROPICAL STORM DESIGNATION FOR NOW. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 40 KT IN DEFERENCE TO THE EARLIER
SCATTEROMETER DATA. HOWEVER, STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, DRY
MID-LATITUDE AIR, AND COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD WEAKEN
PATTY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO
THE LATEST NHC INTENSITY FORECAST.
THE STORM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 15 KT AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
EASTWARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PATTY
IS STILL EXPECTED TO OPEN INTO A TROUGH NEAR OR OVER WESTERN EUROPE,
AND ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE OFFICIAL TRACK
FORECAST.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 03/2100Z 37.3N 22.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 04/0600Z 37.7N 19.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
24H 04/1800Z 38.9N 14.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 05/0600Z 40.2N 11.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 05/1800Z 41.2N 8.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER BUCCI
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