134
WTNT23 KNHC 040253
TCMAT3
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024
0300 UTC MON NOV 04 2024
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 76.9W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 76.9W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 76.9W
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.2N 76.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.0N 77.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 17.9N 78.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.8N 80.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.8N 82.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...115NE 100SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.5N 84.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 25.5N 87.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 26.5N 89.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 110NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 76.9W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 04/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
FORECASTER PAPIN
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