040
WTNT23 KNHC 051448
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024
1500 UTC TUE NOV 05 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 78.6W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 78.6W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 78.2W
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.4N 79.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.3N 81.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.2N 83.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.4N 84.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 25.1N 85.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 25.6N 87.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 26.8N 89.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 28.0N 90.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 78.6W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 05/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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