521
WTPZ24 KNHC 061452
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142024
1500 UTC WED NOV 06 2024
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 106.1W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 106.1W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 106.4W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.1N 105.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 12.5N 104.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 11.3N 103.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 10.6N 103.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 10.2N 102.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 10.1N 102.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 106.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
FORECASTER BUCCI
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