571
WTNT23 KNHC 070251
TCMAT3
HURRICANE RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024
0300 UTC THU NOV 07 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 83.6W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 40SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 83.6W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 83.2W
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.4N 84.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.6N 86.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 24.6N 88.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.6N 89.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.8N 90.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.0N 91.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 24.8N 92.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 24.2N 93.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 30SW 50NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 83.6W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 07/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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