272
FZNT24 KNHC 080302
OFFNT4
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL
1002 PM EST THU NOV 7 2024
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT, WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
GMZ001-081515-
SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
1002 PM EST THU NOV 7 2024
SYNOPSIS
HURRICANE RAFAEL IS CENTERED NEAR 24.6N 87.1W AT
08/0300 UTC OR 240 NM NE OF PROGRESO MEXICO, MOVING W AT 8 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. RAFAEL IS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H), AND A GENERAL WESTWARD TO WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, RAFAEL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. RAFAEL
WILL MOVE TO 24.7N 88.4W FRI MORNING, 24.8N 89.9W FRI EVENING,
25.1N 91.1W SAT MORNING, WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 25.2N
91.9W SAT EVENING, 25.3N 92.4W SUN MORNING, AND 24.9N 92.7W SUN
EVENING. RAFAEL WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO
23.7N 93.1W LATE MON. SOME SMALL INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON
FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
GMZ040-081515-
NW GULF INCLUDING STETSON BANK-
1002 PM EST THU NOV 7 2024
OVERNIGHT
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
FRI
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
FRI NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN E TO
SE SWELL.
SAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 25
KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
SAT NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
SUN
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
SUN NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
MON
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN SE SWELL.
MON NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
TUE
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
GMZ041-081515-
SW LOUISIANA OFFSHORE WATERS INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANK MARINE
SANCTUARY-
1002 PM EST THU NOV 7 2024
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
OVERNIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT, BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FT IN E TO SE SWELL LATE.
FRI
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE TO E WINDS 15 TO
20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
FRI NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE TO E WINDS
15 TO 20 KT W OF 92W, AND NE TO E 25 TO 30 KT E OF 92W. SEAS 9 TO
14 FT IN E TO SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT W OF 92W, AND E 30 TO 35 KT E OF 92W. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN SE
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE TO E WINDS
25 TO 30 KT W OF 92W, AND E TO SE 30 TO 35 KT E OF 92W. SEAS 9 TO
13 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS.
SUN
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
SUN NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN SE TO S
SWELL.
MON
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
TUE
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
GMZ056-081515-
N CENTRAL GULF OFFSHORE WATERS-
1002 PM EST THU NOV 7 2024
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
OVERNIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W OF 89W, NE TO
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT LATE. E OF 89W, NE TO E WINDS 30 TO
35 KT LATE. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
FRI
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E WINDS 30 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 11 TO 17 FT IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS.
FRI NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E WINDS 30 TO
35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E TO SE WINDS 30 TO
35 KT W OF 89W, AND E TO SE 20 TO 25 KT E OF 89W. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT
IN SE TO S SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W OF 89W, E TO
SE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT, SHIFTING TO SE 20 KT LATE. E OF
89W, E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN
SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
SUN NIGHT
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN SE SWELL.
MON
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
TUE
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
GMZ057-081515-
NE GULF N OF 26N E OF 87W-
1002 PM EST THU NOV 7 2024
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
OVERNIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W OF 85W, E
WINDS 30 TO 35 KT LATE. E OF 85W, E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT LATE. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
FRI
E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SE SWELL.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
FRI NIGHT
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.
SAT NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
SUN
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
SUN NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
MON NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
TUE
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
GMZ058-081515-
W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W-
1002 PM EST THU NOV 7 2024
OVERNIGHT
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
FRI
E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL.
FRI NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN E
SWELL.
SAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NW TO N WINDS 15 TO
25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
SAT NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N WINDS 15 TO
25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
SUN
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
SUN NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN NE TO E
SWELL.
MON
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
MON NIGHT
W OF 96W, NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. E OF 96W, NE
WINDS 15 TO 20 KT, BECOMING NE TO E 25 TO 30 KT LATE.
SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL.
TUE
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT W OF 96W, AND NE TO E 25 TO
30 KT E OF 96W. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
GMZ045-081515-
W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W-
1002 PM EST THU NOV 7 2024
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
OVERNIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT, BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL LATE.
FRI
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
FRI NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S OF 24N, NW
WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. N OF 24N, N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT, BECOMING
N 35 TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W TO NW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT S OF 24N, AND N 50 TO 60 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT IN
NE TO E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W WINDS 15 TO
20 KT S OF 24N, AND NW TO N 45 TO 55 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 10 TO
15 FT IN NE TO E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
SUN NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
MON
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
MON NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
TUE
NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 30 KT S OF 24N, AND NE TO E 10 TO
15 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
GMZ046-081515-
CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 91W-
1002 PM EST THU NOV 7 2024
..HURRICANE WARNING
OVERNIGHT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS. S OF 24N, W TO NW WINDS 30 TO
35 KT LATE. N OF 24N, N WINDS 75 TO 85 KT LATE. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT
IN NE TO E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
FRI
HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SW TO W WINDS 30 TO 35 KT
S OF 24N, AND NE TO E 70 TO 80 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT IN
NE TO E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. VSBY 1 NM OR
LESS.
FRI NIGHT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S TO SW WINDS 25 TO
30 KT S OF 24N, AND SE 60 TO 80 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 13 TO 20 FT IN
NW SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S OF 24N, S WINDS
25 TO 30 KT, BECOMING SE TO S 15 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
24N, SE WINDS 55 TO 65 KT, DIMINISHING TO 35 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN W SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE WINDS 15 TO
20 KT S OF 24N, AND SE 30 TO 35 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN E
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
SUN NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
MON
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
TUE
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
GMZ047-081515-
SE GULF FROM 22N TO 26N E OF 87W INCLUDING STRAITS OF FLORIDA-
1002 PM EST THU NOV 7 2024
..HURRICANE WARNING
OVERNIGHT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS. S OF 24N, SE TO S WINDS 30 TO
35 KT LATE. N OF 24N, SE WINDS 55 TO 65 KT LATE. SEAS 14 TO 21 FT
IN E SWELL, SUBSIDING TO 10 TO 15 FT
IN E TO SE SWELL LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
FRI
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S OF 24N, SE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. N OF 24N, SE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT, BECOMING E TO SE
20 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
FRI NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT NIGHT
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
SUN
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
SUN NIGHT
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
TUE
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
GMZ048-081515-
SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W-
1002 PM EST THU NOV 7 2024
OVERNIGHT
NE WINDS 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
FRI
N TO NE WINDS 10 KT, SHIFTING TO S TO SW IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT OR LESS, BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
FRI NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 10 KT, SHIFTING TO NW LATE.
SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NE SWELL.
SAT
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NE SWELL.
SAT NIGHT
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN NE
SWELL.
SUN
NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
SUN NIGHT
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN N TO NE
SWELL.
MON
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
MON NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN N TO NE
SWELL.
TUE
S OF 21N W OF 95W, N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. ELSEWHERE, NE
WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
GMZ049-081515-
CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE-
1002 PM EST THU NOV 7 2024
OVERNIGHT
N WINDS 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
FRI
W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
FRI NIGHT
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
SAT
W TO NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN N TO NE
SWELL.
SAT NIGHT
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN N TO NE
SWELL.
SUN
W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
SUN NIGHT
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
TUE
S OF 20N, NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. N OF 20N, NE WINDS 10 TO
15 KT, INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO
5 FT.
GMZ050-081515-
E BAY OF CAMPECHE INCLUDING CAMPECHE BANK-
1002 PM EST THU NOV 7 2024
OVERNIGHT
NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT.
FRI
W TO NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
FRI NIGHT
W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
SAT
SW TO W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
SAT NIGHT
W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, SHIFTING TO E TO SE LATE.
SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
SUN
S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
SUN NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
MON
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
TUE
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
FORECASTER ADAMS
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