311
FZNT25 KNHC 080922
OFFN04
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL
422 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...
SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO
SYNOPSIS
HURRICANE RAFAEL IS CENTERED NEAR 24.5N 88.0W AT
08/0900 UTC OR 210 NM NNE OF PROGRESO MEXICO, MOVING W AT 8 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE TODAY. BY TONIGHT, A STEADY WEAKENING
TREND IS FORECAST AND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A
GENERAL WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK, RAFAEL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. RAFAEL WILL MOVE TO 24.6N 89.3W
THIS AFTERNOON, 24.8N 90.6W SAT MORNING, 25.2N 91.6W SAT
AFTERNOON, WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 25.5N 92.1W SUN
MORNING, 26.0N 92.1W SUN AFTERNOON, AND 26.3N 91.4W MON MORNING.
RAFAEL WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO 24.5N
91.5W EARLY TUE.
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
TODAY
E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS.
TONIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
SAT NIGHT
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS.
SUN
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
SUN NIGHT
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
TUE
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA
SYNOPSIS
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG E WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS
OCCURRING NORTH OF A SHEAR LINE, LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE
GREATER ANTILLES, WILL DIMINISH BY TONIGHT INTO SAT MORNING. A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR PUERTO RICO CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR THE GREATER ANTILLES. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND THE NEXT SEVEN
DAYS. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS INTO
THE FORECAST WATERS ON SAT, LEADING TO WIDESPREAD FRESH TO STRONG
NE TO E WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN N SWELL NORTH OF
THE GREATER ANTILLES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
TODAY
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
TONIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
SAT
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
SAT NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT S OF 27N, AND E 20 TO
25 KT N OF 27N. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
SUN
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.
SUN NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.
MON
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 27N, AND SE 15 TO 20 KT N OF
27N. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
MON NIGHT
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
TUE
S OF 27N, E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. N OF 27N, S WINDS 5 TO
10 KT, SHIFTING TO NE TO E 10 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 TO 5 FT.
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