130  
WTNT23 KNHC 081432  
TCMAT3  
 
HURRICANE RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024  
1500 UTC FRI NOV 08 2024  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 88.8W AT 08/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.  
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT....... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.  
12 FT SEAS..270NE 90SE 120SW 240NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 88.8W AT 08/1500Z  
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 88.5W  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.7N 89.8W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.1N 91.0W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.5N 91.7W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.8N 91.9W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.9N 91.7W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.5N 91.6W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.7N 92.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 22.6N 92.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 88.8W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z  
 
 
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  
 
 
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