230  
FZNT24 KNHC 081543  
OFFNT4  
 
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL  
1043 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
 
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO  
 
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT, WHICH IS THE AVERAGE  
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE  
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.  
 
GMZ001-090345-  
SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO  
1043 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
SYNOPSIS  
HURRICANE RAFAEL IS CENTERED NEAR 24.5N 88.8W AT  
1500 UTC, OR 200 NM NNE OF PROGRESO MEXICO, MOVING W AT 8 KT.  
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WIND SPEED IS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. SOME MINOR FLUCTUATIONS  
IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE TODAY, BEFORE A STEADY WEAKENING TREND  
BEGINS TONIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A GENERAL WESTWARD TO WEST-  
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, RAFAEL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE  
SLOWLY OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS,  
REACHING NEAR 24.7N 89.8W THIS EVENING, NEAR 25.1N 91.0W SAT  
MORNING, NEAR 25.8N 91.9W SUN MORNING AS A TROPICAL STORM, NEAR  
25.5N 91.6W MON MORNING, AND NEAR 23.7N 92.0W TUE MORNING AND A 30  
KT REMNANT LOW.  
 
 
 
GMZ040-090345-  
NW GULF INCLUDING STETSON BANK-  
1043 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TODAY  
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT,  
BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN E TO SE SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON.    
TONIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN E TO SE  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT  
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN E TO SE  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT NIGHT  
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT IN E TO SE  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN  
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN E TO SE  
SWELL.    
SUN NIGHT  
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.    
MON  
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL.    
MON NIGHT  
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE  
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.  
 
 
 
GMZ041-090345-  
SW LOUISIANA OFFSHORE WATERS INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANK MARINE  
SANCTUARY-  
1043 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING  
 
   
TODAY  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO  
13 FT IN E TO SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS.    
TONIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE TO E WINDS  
15 TO 20 KT W OF 92W, AND NE TO E 25 TO 30 KT E OF 92W. SEAS 9 TO  
14 FT IN E TO SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE TO E WINDS 20 TO  
25 KT W OF 92W, AND NE TO E 35 TO 40 KT E OF 92W. SEAS 10 TO  
15 FT IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT NIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE TO E WINDS  
25 TO 30 KT W OF 92W, AND E 35 TO 45 KT E OF 92W. SEAS 10 TO  
15 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT  
W OF 92W, AND E 35 TO 45 KT E OF 92W. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SE  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN NIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.    
MON  
N TO NE WINDS 15 KT W OF 92W, AND N TO NE 25 TO 30 KT E OF  
92W. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
MON NIGHT  
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE  
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.  
 
 
 
GMZ056-090345-  
N CENTRAL GULF OFFSHORE WATERS-  
1043 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING  
 
   
TODAY  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E WINDS 25 TO 30 KT  
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
TONIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E WINDS 30 TO  
35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E TO SE WINDS 35 TO  
40 KT W OF 89W, AND E TO SE 20 TO 25 KT E OF 89W. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT  
IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT NIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W OF 89W, E TO  
SE WINDS 35 TO 40 KT, DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 30 KT LATE.  
E OF 89W, E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SE SWELL.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT.  
SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
TSTMS.    
SUN NIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON  
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.   
MON NIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE  
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 
 
 
GMZ057-090345-  
NE GULF N OF 26N E OF 87W-  
1043 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TODAY  
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO  
11 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
TONIGHT  
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS.    
SAT  
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.    
SAT NIGHT  
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED  
TSTMS.    
SUN  
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.   
SUN NIGHT  
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON  
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
MON NIGHT  
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE  
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.  
 
 
 
GMZ058-090345-  
W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W-  
1043 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TODAY  
NE TO E WINDS 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN  
E SWELL.    
TONIGHT  
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.    
SAT  
NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN NE TO E  
SWELL.    
SAT NIGHT  
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN NE TO E  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS.    
SUN  
NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN NE TO E  
SWELL.    
SUN NIGHT  
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.    
MON  
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
MON NIGHT  
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE  
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.  
 
 
 
GMZ045-090345-  
W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W-  
1043 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
..HURRICANE WARNING  
 
   
TODAY  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT  
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN NE TO E SWELL. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS.    
TONIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S OF 24N, NW  
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. N OF 24N, N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT, BECOMING  
N 45 TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W TO NW WINDS 20 TO  
25 KT S OF 24N, AND NW TO N 55 TO 70 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 11 TO  
17 FT IN NE TO E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT NIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W WINDS 15 TO  
20 KT S OF 24N, AND W TO NW 45 TO 55 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT  
IN N TO NE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S  
OF 24N, AND W TO NW 35 TO 45 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN N  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN NIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.    
MON  
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 24N, AND N 25 TO 30 KT N OF 24N.  
SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
MON NIGHT  
S OF 24N, N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT, BECOMING N TO NE  
25 TO 30 KT LATE. N OF 24N, NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS  
4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE  
N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.  
 
 
 
GMZ046-090345-  
CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 91W-  
1043 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
..HURRICANE WARNING  
 
   
TODAY  
HURRICANE CONDITIONS. S OF 24N, SW WINDS 35 TO 40 KT IN  
THE AFTERNOON. N OF 24N, E WINDS 65 TO 85 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 14 TO 22 FT IN NE TO E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS.    
TONIGHT  
HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S TO SW WINDS 25 TO  
30 KT S OF 24N, AND SE 65 TO 80 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT IN  
NW TO N SWELL. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS.    
SAT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S OF 24N, S WINDS  
20 TO 25 KT. N OF 24N, SE WINDS 60 TO 70 KT, BECOMING SE TO S  
45 TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN W TO NW SWELL.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT NIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE TO S WINDS  
15 TO 20 KT S OF 24N, AND SE 30 TO 40 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 7 TO  
10 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS.    
SUN  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE TO S WINDS 10 TO  
15 KT S OF 24N, AND SE TO S 25 TO 30 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN NIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.    
MON  
S OF 24N, SE TO S WINDS 10 KT, SHIFTING TO N IN THE  
AFTERNOON. N OF 24N, SE TO S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT, SHIFTING TO NE IN  
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON NIGHT  
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE  
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 
 
 
GMZ047-090345-  
SE GULF FROM 22N TO 26N E OF 87W INCLUDING STRAITS OF FLORIDA-  
1043 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TODAY  
SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT  
IN SW TO W SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS.    
TONIGHT  
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN SW TO W  
SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS.    
SAT  
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT NIGHT  
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. NUMEROUS  
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS.    
SUN  
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.   
SUN NIGHT  
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON  
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.   
MON NIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.   
TUE  
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 
 
 
GMZ048-090345-  
SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W-  
1043 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TODAY  
NW WINDS 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS,  
BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.    
TONIGHT  
N TO NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NE SWELL.    
SAT  
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NE SWELL.    
SAT NIGHT  
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NE SWELL.    
SUN  
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
SUN NIGHT  
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
MON  
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
MON NIGHT  
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE  
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.  
 
 
 
GMZ049-090345-  
CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE-  
1043 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TODAY  
W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO  
6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS.    
TONIGHT  
W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN N TO NE  
SWELL.    
SAT  
W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN N TO NE  
SWELL.    
SAT NIGHT  
W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS.    
SUN  
W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.    
SUN NIGHT  
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON  
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON NIGHT  
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE  
N TO NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.  
 
 
 
GMZ050-090345-  
E BAY OF CAMPECHE INCLUDING CAMPECHE BANK-  
1043 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TODAY  
W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN  
N SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS.    
TONIGHT  
W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN N SWELL.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS.    
SAT  
SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
SAT NIGHT  
W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, SHIFTING TO S TO SW LATE. SEAS  
3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN  
S TO SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
SUN NIGHT  
NW WINDS 10 KT, SHIFTING TO E TO SE LATE.  
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
MON  
VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 KT, BECOMING NW TO N 10 KT IN  
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
MON NIGHT  
N TO NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE  
N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 
 
 
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