353
WTNT33 KNHC 082032
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RAFAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024
300 PM CST FRI NOV 08 2024
..RAFAEL PRODUCING ROUGH SEAS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO
SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...24.6N 89.7W
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM N OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 475 MI...765 KM E OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RAFAEL.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RAFAEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 89.7 WEST. RAFAEL IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. AFTER THAT, RAFAEL IS LIKELY TO
MEANDER OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH (155 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES (45 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES
(150 KM).
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB (28.56 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR HURRICANE RAFAEL CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT3 AND WMO HEADER
WTNT43 KNHC AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT3.SHTML
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY RAFAEL ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS MOST
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 900 PM CST.
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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