995  
FZNT24 KNHC 082118  
OFFNT4  
 
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL  
418 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
 
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO  
 
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT, WHICH IS THE AVERAGE  
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE  
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.  
 
GMZ001-090930-  
SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO  
418 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
HURRICANE RAFAEL IS CENTERED NEAR 24.6N 89.7W AT  
2100 UTC, OR 200 NM N OF PROGRESO MEXICO, MOVING W AT 8 KT.  
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WIND SPEED IS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. A STEADY AND GRADUAL  
WEAKENING TREND WILL BEGIN TONIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS RAFAEL  
MOVES IN A SLOW WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION, BEFORE  
WEAKENING QUICKLY AND TURNING SOUTHWARD MON NIGHT THROUGH WED. ON  
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, RAFAEL IS EXPECTED TO REACH NEAR 24.9N  
90.6W TONIGHT, NEAR 25.2N 91.5W MIDDAY SAT AS A TROPICAL STORM,  
NEAR 25.6N 92.0W MIDDAY SUN, AND NEAR 23.8N 92.3W MIDDAY MON AS A  
30 KT REMNANT LOW. MODERATE NE TO E WINDS WILL BUILD ACROSS THE  
BASIN WED.  
 

 
 
GMZ040-090930-  
NW GULF INCLUDING STETSON BANK-  
418 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TONIGHT
 
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN E TO SE  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT IN E TO SE  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT IN E TO SE  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN E TO SE  
SWELL.    
SUN NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN E  
SWELL.    
MON
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
E TO SE WINDS 10 KT, SHIFTING TO N TO NE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ041-090930-  
SW LOUISIANA OFFSHORE WATERS INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANK MARINE  
SANCTUARY-  
418 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
 
 
   
TONIGHT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE TO E WINDS  
15 TO 20 KT W OF 92W, AND NE TO E 25 TO 30 KT E OF 92W. SEAS 9 TO  
14 FT IN E TO SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE TO E WINDS 20 TO  
25 KT W OF 92W, AND NE TO E 35 TO 40 KT E OF 92W. SEAS 10 TO  
16 FT IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT NIGHT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE TO E WINDS  
30 TO 35 KT W OF 92W, AND E 35 TO 40 KT E OF 92W. SEAS 10 TO  
16 FT IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS.    
SUN
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE TO E WINDS 35 TO  
40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SE SWELL. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND  
SCATTERED TSTMS.    
SUN NIGHT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W OF 92W, N TO  
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. E OF 92W, NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT, BECOMING N  
TO NE 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. SCATTERED  
TSTMS.    
MON
 
N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.    
MON NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ056-090930-  
N CENTRAL GULF OFFSHORE WATERS-  
418 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
 
 
   
TONIGHT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E WINDS 30 TO  
35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E TO SE WINDS 30 TO  
40 KT W OF 89W, AND E TO SE 20 TO 25 KT E OF 89W. SEAS 10 TO  
15 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT NIGHT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E TO SE WINDS  
30 TO 35 KT W OF 89W, AND E TO SE 20 TO 25 KT E OF 89W. SEAS 9 TO  
13 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN
 
SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN NIGHT
 
SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON
 
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, SHIFTING TO NE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN SE SWELL.    
MON NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE
 
NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
NE TO E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ057-090930-  
NE GULF N OF 26N E OF 87W-  
418 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TONIGHT
 
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS.    
SAT
 
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.    
SAT NIGHT
 
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED  
TSTMS.    
SUN
 
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.   
SUN NIGHT
 
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
MON
 
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.   
MON NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.    
TUE NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
NE TO E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ058-090930-  
W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W-  
418 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TONIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.    
SAT
 
NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN NE TO E  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT NIGHT
 
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT W OF 96W, AND NW TO N 15 TO  
20 KT E OF 96W. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN NE TO E SWELL. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS.    
SUN
 
NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN NE TO E  
SWELL.    
SUN NIGHT
 
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NE TO E  
SWELL.    
MON
 
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, SHIFTING TO NE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ045-090930-  
W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W-  
418 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
..HURRICANE WARNING
 
 
   
TONIGHT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. S OF 24N, NW WINDS 20 TO  
25 KT. N OF 24N, N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT, BECOMING N 50 TO  
55 KT LATE. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W TO NW WINDS 20 TO  
25 KT S OF 24N, AND NW TO N 55 TO 65 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 11 TO  
17 FT IN NE TO E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.  
VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.    
SAT NIGHT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W WINDS 15 TO  
20 KT S OF 24N, AND NW 45 TO 55 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN N  
TO NE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S  
OF 24N, AND W TO NW 35 TO 45 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN N TO  
NE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN NIGHT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NW WINDS 10 TO  
15 KT S OF 24N, AND N 30 TO 35 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.    
MON
 
S OF 24N, NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT, BECOMING NW TO N 25 TO  
30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF 24N, N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS  
4 TO 6 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
TUE
 
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT S OF 24N, AND NE 15 KT N OF 24N. SEAS  
4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
WED
 
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S OF 24N, AND NE 10 TO 15 KT N OF  
24N. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ046-090930-  
CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 91W-  
418 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
..HURRICANE WARNING
 
 
   
TONIGHT
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS. S TO SW WINDS 30 TO 35 KT S OF  
24N, AND SE 60 TO 75 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT IN NW SWELL.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.    
SAT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT S  
OF 24N, AND SE 45 TO 65 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN W TO NW  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.    
SAT NIGHT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE TO S WINDS  
15 TO 20 KT S OF 24N, AND SE 30 TO 40 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 7 TO  
10 FT IN W TO NW SWELL. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS.    
SUN
 
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 24N, AND SE TO S 20 TO  
25 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN W TO NW SWELL. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN NIGHT
 
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON
 
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, SHIFTING TO N TO NE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ047-090930-  
SE GULF FROM 22N TO 26N E OF 87W INCLUDING STRAITS OF FLORIDA-  
418 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TONIGHT
 
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN W SWELL.  
SCATTERED TSTMS.    
SAT
 
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT NIGHT
 
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. NUMEROUS  
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS.    
SUN
 
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.   
SUN NIGHT
 
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON
 
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.   
MON NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.    
TUE NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ048-090930-  
SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W-  
418 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TONIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NE SWELL.    
SAT
 
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL.    
SAT NIGHT
 
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NE SWELL.    
SUN
 
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
SUN NIGHT
 
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON
 
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE
 
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
NW TO N WINDS 10 KT S OF 21N W OF 95W, AND N TO NE 15 TO  
20 KT ELSEWHERE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ049-090930-  
CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE-  
418 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TONIGHT
 
W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN N TO NE  
SWELL.    
SAT
 
W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN N TO NE  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS.    
SAT NIGHT
 
W TO NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN N TO NE  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN
 
W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN NIGHT
 
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON
 
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE
 
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 20N, AND NE 15 TO  
20 KT N OF 20N. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
N WINDS 10 KT S OF 20N, AND N TO NE 15 TO 20 KT N OF 20N.  
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ050-090930-  
E BAY OF CAMPECHE INCLUDING CAMPECHE BANK-  
418 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
   
TONIGHT
 
W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN N SWELL.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS.    
SAT
 
SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NW TO N  
SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS.    
SAT NIGHT
 
SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN
 
S TO SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN NIGHT
 
N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
MON
 
NW TO N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 

 
 
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