556  
FZNT27 KNHC 082136  
OFFN06  
 
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL  
436 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024  
 
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE  
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED  
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...  
   
SYNOPSIS  
HURRICANE RAFAEL IS CENTERED NEAR 24.6N 89.7W AT  
2100 UTC, OR 200 NM N OF PROGRESO MEXICO, MOVING W AT 8 KT.  
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WIND SPEED IS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. A STEADY AND GRADUAL  
WEAKENING TREND WILL BEGIN TONIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS RAFAEL  
MOVES IN A SLOW WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION, BEFORE  
WEAKENING QUICKLY AND TURNING SOUTHWARD MON NIGHT THROUGH WED.  
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, RAFAEL IS EXPECTED TO REACH NEAR  
24.9N 90.6W TONIGHT, NEAR 25.2N 91.5W MIDDAY SAT AS A TROPICAL  
STORM, NEAR 25.6N 92.0W MIDDAY SUN, AND NEAR 23.8N 92.3W MIDDAY  
MON AS A 30 KT REMNANT LOW. MODERATE NE TO E WINDS WILL BUILD  
ACROSS THE BASIN WED.  
 
NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO  
   
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING  
 
   
TONIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE TO E WINDS  
30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
TSTMS.    
SAT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE TO E WINDS 35 TO  
40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT NIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE TO E WINDS  
35 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
TSTMS.    
SUN  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE WINDS 35 TO  
40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS.    
SUN NIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N TO NE WINDS  
30 TO 35 KT, DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS  
6 TO 9 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON  
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
MON NIGHT  
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE  
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE NIGHT  
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
WED  
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, SHIFTING TO N TO NE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.  
 
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO  
   
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING  
 
   
TONIGHT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E WINDS 30 TO  
35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT  
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E TO SE WINDS 25 TO  
30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SAT NIGHT  
E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN  
SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
SUN NIGHT  
SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
MON  
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
MON NIGHT  
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE  
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
TUE NIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
WED  
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.  
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