839  
WTNT23 KNHC 090233  
TCMAT3  
 
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024  
0300 UTC SAT NOV 09 2024  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 89.9W AT 09/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 4 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.  
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT....... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.  
12 FT SEAS..240NE 90SE 180SW 300NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 89.9W AT 09/0300Z  
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 89.7W  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.0N 90.7W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.3N 91.5W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.6N 91.8W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.1N 91.8W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.4N 91.9W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 23.4N 92.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 22.0N 92.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 20.5N 94.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 89.9W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z  
 
 
FORECASTER BEVEN  
 
 
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