574
FZNT27 KNHC 090321
OFFN06
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL
1021 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...
SYNOPSIS
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL IS CENTERED NEAR 24.8N 89.9W
AT 09/0300 UTC OR 210 NM N OF PROGRESO MEXICO, MOVING WNW AT
4 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. ADDITIONAL
STEADY TO RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.
AFTER THAT, RAFAEL IS LIKELY TO MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
TOWARD THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
RAFAEL WILL MOVE TO 25.0N 90.7W SAT MORNING, 25.3N 91.5W SAT
EVENING, 25.6N 91.8W SUN MORNING, 25.1N 91.8W SUN EVENING,
WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR 24.4N 91.9W MON MORNING,
AND BECOME A REMNANT LOW AND MOVE TO 23.4N 92.2W MON EVENING.
RAFAEL WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO 22.0N
92.7W LATE TUE. LOOKING AHEAD, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NE
WINDS WILL BUILD ACROSS THE BASIN WED.
NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
TONIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE TO E WINDS
25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E TO SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE TO E WINDS 30 TO
40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE TO E WINDS
30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE WINDS 30 TO
35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS.
SUN NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT, BECOMING NE 10 TO 15 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
MON
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
TUE
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
TUE NIGHT
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
WED
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, SHIFTING TO N TO NE IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO
TONIGHT
E WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN S SWELL.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT
E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SAT NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN
SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN NIGHT
SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
MON
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
MON NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
TUE
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
TUE NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
WED
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
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