509  
WTNT23 KNHC 091442  
TCMAT3  
 
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024  
1500 UTC SAT NOV 09 2024  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 91.5W AT 09/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 5 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.  
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 20SW 70NW.  
12 FT SEAS..150NE 60SE 90SW 210NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 91.5W AT 09/1500Z  
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 91.2W  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.4N 91.8W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.6N 92.2W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.7N 92.1W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.1N 91.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 23.6N 92.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.4N 93.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 20.5N 94.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 18.5N 96.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 91.5W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z  
 
 
FORECASTER REINHART  
 
 
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