627
FZNT24 KNHC 100311
OFFNT4
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT, WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
GMZ001-101515-
SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024
SYNOPSIS
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL IS CENTERED NEAR 25.7N 91.7W AT
10/0300 UTC OR 290 NM NNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO, MOVING NW AT 3 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, AND RAFAEL IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE TO
A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ON MONDAY. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO
MEANDER OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT,
THEN TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. RAFAEL WILL MOVE TO 26.0N 91.8W SUN MORNING, 26.0N 91.5W
SUN EVENING, WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW NEAR 25.3N 91.4W MON
MORNING, 24.0N 91.8W MON EVENING, 22.8N 92.6W TUE MORNING, AND
22.2N 93.7W TUE EVENING. RAFAEL WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY
AS IT MOVES TO 21.4N 95.2W LATE WED. LOOKING AHEAD, MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH E WINDS WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
GULF ON WED AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. A
SECOND COLD FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
LATE NEXT WEEK, REINFORCING FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NE WINDS AND
ROUGH SEAS ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF.
GMZ040-101515-
NW GULF INCLUDING STETSON BANK-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024
OVERNIGHT
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT
IN E TO SE SWELL.
SUN
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
SUN NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN E
SWELL.
MON
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
TUE
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
TUE NIGHT
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
WED
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
WED NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
THU
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
GMZ041-101515-
SW LOUISIANA OFFSHORE WATERS INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANK MARINE
SANCTUARY-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
OVERNIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. W OF 92W, NE TO E WINDS
20 TO 25 KT LATE. E OF 92W, E WINDS 30 TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 TO
13 FT IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT
W OF 92W, AND E 30 TO 35 KT E OF 92W. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT IN E TO SE
SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS.
SUN NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT W OF 92W, AND NE TO E 30 TO 35 KT E OF 92W. SEAS 6 TO
8 FT IN E TO SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
MON
N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
MON NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
TUE
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
TUE NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
WED
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
WED NIGHT
E WINDS 10 KT, SHIFTING TO N LATE. SEAS
2 TO 4 FT.
THU
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
GMZ056-101515-
N CENTRAL GULF OFFSHORE WATERS-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024
OVERNIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E TO SE WINDS
25 TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT W
OF 89W, AND SE 20 TO 25 KT E OF 89W. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN NIGHT
SE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT W OF 89W, AND SE 15 TO 20 KT E
OF 89W. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
MON
SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
MON NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
TUE
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
TUE NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
WED
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
WED NIGHT
SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
THU
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
GMZ057-101515-
NE GULF N OF 26N E OF 87W-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024
OVERNIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO
7 FT.
SUN
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
SUN NIGHT
SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
MON
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
TUE
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
TUE NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
WED
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
WED NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
THU
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, SHIFTING TO W IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
GMZ058-101515-
W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024
OVERNIGHT
NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 TO
9 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
SUN
NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.
SUN NIGHT
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
MON
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
MON NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
TUE
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT W OF 96W, AND N 15 TO 20 KT E OF
96W. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
TUE NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT W OF 96W, AND NE TO E 20 TO
25 KT E OF 96W. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
WED
N WINDS 10 KT W OF 96W, AND NE TO E 15 TO 20 KT E OF 96W.
SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
WED NIGHT
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
THU
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
GMZ045-101515-
W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
OVERNIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. S OF 24N, SW TO W WINDS
15 TO 20 KT LATE. N OF 24N, W TO NW WINDS 30 TO 35 KT
LATE. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S
OF 24N, AND W TO NW 25 TO 35 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN NIGHT
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 24N, AND NW 25 TO 30 KT N
OF 24N. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS.
MON
S OF 24N, NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF 24N, N WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT
IN N TO NE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
MON NIGHT
N WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
TUE
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.
TUE NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
WED
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
WED NIGHT
SE WINDS 10 KT, SHIFTING TO N TO NE LATE.
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
THU
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
GMZ046-101515-
CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 91W-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024
OVERNIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE TO S WINDS
25 TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE TO S WINDS 10 TO
15 KT S OF 24N, AND SE TO S 25 TO 35 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN NIGHT
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 24N, AND SE TO S
25 TO 30 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS.
MON
S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS.
MON NIGHT
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
TUE
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
TUE NIGHT
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
WED
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
WED NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
THU
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
GMZ047-101515-
SE GULF FROM 22N TO 26N E OF 87W INCLUDING STRAITS OF FLORIDA-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024
OVERNIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO
7 FT.
SUN
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
SUN NIGHT
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
TUE
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
TUE NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
WED
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
WED NIGHT
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
THU
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
GMZ048-101515-
SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024
OVERNIGHT
NW WINDS 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN NE
SWELL.
SUN
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
SUN NIGHT
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
MON
NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
MON NIGHT
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
TUE
NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
TUE NIGHT
NW TO N WINDS 10 KT S OF 21N W OF 95W, AND NW TO N
15 TO 20 KT ELSEWHERE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
WED
NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
WED NIGHT
NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
THU
NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT, BUILDING TO
6 TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GMZ049-101515-
CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024
OVERNIGHT
W TO NW WINDS 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT
IN N TO NE SWELL.
SUN
W TO NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN NIGHT
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
MON
NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
MON NIGHT
NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
TUE
W TO NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
TUE NIGHT
S OF 20N, NW WINDS 10 KT IN THE EVENING, BECOMING
VARIABLE LESS THAN 5 KT. N OF 20N, W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, SHIFTING
TO S TO SW 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
WED
S OF 20N, VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 KT. N OF 20N, S TO SW
WINDS 15 TO 20 KT, DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 TO 5 FT.
WED NIGHT
NW TO N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
THU
NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
GMZ050-101515-
E BAY OF CAMPECHE INCLUDING CAMPECHE BANK-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024
OVERNIGHT
SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN
SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
SUN NIGHT
NW WINDS 10 KT, SHIFTING TO SW TO W LATE.
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
MON
W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS.
MON NIGHT
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
TUE
W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
TUE NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, SHIFTING TO E TO SE LATE.
SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
WED
E TO SE WINDS 10 KT, SHIFTING TO N TO NE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
WED NIGHT
N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
THU
N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
FORECASTER ADAMS
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