305  
FZNT25 KNHC 100323  
OFFN04  
 
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL  
1023 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2024  
 
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE  
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED  
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...  
 
SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO  
   
SYNOPSIS  
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL IS CENTERED NEAR 25.7N 91.7W  
AT 10/0300 UTC OR 290 NM NNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO, MOVING NW AT  
3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. WEAKENING IS  
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, AND RAFAEL IS FORECAST TO  
DEGENERATE TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ON MONDAY. THE STORM  
IS EXPECTED TO MEANDER OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH  
SUNDAY NIGHT, THEN TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST ON  
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. LOOKING AHEAD, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH E  
WINDS WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF ON WED AS A  
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. A SECOND COLD  
FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATE NEXT  
WEEK, REINFORCING FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS  
ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF.  
   
TONIGHT  
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
SUN  
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
SUN NIGHT  
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON  
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
MON NIGHT  
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
TUE  
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
TUE NIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
WED  
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
WED NIGHT  
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
THU  
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.  
 
WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA  
   
SYNOPSIS  
STRONG NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS OCCURRING ALONG AND  
TO THE WEST OF A TROUGH, EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD FROM A 1011 MB  
LOW NEAR 25N71W THROUGH EASTERN CUBA, WILL PERSIST THROUGH  
SUNDAY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF TROPICAL FORMATION ALONG THIS  
TROUGH WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND NEXT 7 DAYS. A STRONG COLD  
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND  
WESTERN ATLANTIC THIS WEEKEND, REACHING 23N BY SUN MORNING AND  
19N BY MON BEFORE STALLING THROUGH TUE. EXPECT WIDESPREAD FRESH  
TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN N SWELL  
NORTH OF THE FRONT THROUGH EARLY MON BEFORE DIMINISHING THROUGH  
TUE. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST  
WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS AND ROUGH  
SEAS NORTH OF THE GREATER ANTILLES AND WEST OF 55W BY THE MIDDLE  
OF NEXT WEEK.  
   
TONIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT S OF 27N, AND E 20 TO 25 KT  
N OF 27N. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
SUN  
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT S OF 27N, AND E 20 TO 25 KT N OF  
27N. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.    
SUN NIGHT  
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S OF 27N, AND E TO SE 20 TO  
25 KT N OF 27N. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
TSTMS.    
MON  
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 27N, AND SE 15 TO 20 KT N OF  
27N. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON NIGHT  
E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT S OF 27N, AND SE 10 TO  
15 KT N OF 27N. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
TSTMS.    
TUE  
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 27N, AND N 10 TO 15 KT N OF  
27N. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE NIGHT  
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S OF 27N, AND NE 20 TO 25 KT N  
OF 27N. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
WED  
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
WED NIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.    
THU  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S OF 27N, AND E 10 TO 15 KT N OF  
27N. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.  
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