348  
FZNT25 KNHC 100916  
OFFN04  
 
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL  
416 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
 
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE  
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED  
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...  
 
SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO  
   
SYNOPSIS  
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL IS CENTERED NEAR 26.1N 91.8W  
AT 10/0900 UTC OR 310 NM NNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO, MOVING NNW AT  
2 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. WEAKENING IS  
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK, AND RAFAEL IS FORECAST TO  
DEGENERATE TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY MONDAY. THE STORM  
IS EXPECTED TO MEANDER OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH  
TONIGHT, THEN TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST ON  
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. LOOKING AHEAD, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH E  
WINDS WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF ON WED AS A  
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. A SECOND COLD  
FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATE THIS  
WEEK, REINFORCING FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS  
ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF.  
   
TODAY  
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TONIGHT  
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON  
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
MON NIGHT  
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
TUE  
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
TUE NIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
WED  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
WED NIGHT  
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
THU  
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.  
 
WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA  
   
SYNOPSIS  
STRONG TO NEAR GALE-FORCE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ARE  
OCCURRING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF A 1011 MB LOW, CENTERED NEAR  
24.5N71W. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT  
WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND  
WESTERN ATLANTIC THIS WEEKEND, REACHING 23N THIS MORNING AND 19N  
BY MON BEFORE STALLING THROUGH TUE. EXPECT WIDESPREAD FRESH TO  
STRONG NE TO E WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN N SWELL  
NORTH OF THE FRONT THROUGH MON MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING TUE.  
ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST WILL  
LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS  
NORTH OF THE GREATER ANTILLES AND WEST OF 55W BY THE MIDDLE OF  
THIS WEEK.  
   
TODAY  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S OF 27N, AND E 20 TO 25 KT N  
OF 27N. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.    
TONIGHT  
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S OF 27N, AND E TO SE 20 TO 25 KT  
N OF 27N. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON  
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON NIGHT  
E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT S OF 27N, AND E TO SE 10 TO  
15 KT N OF 27N. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
TSTMS.    
TUE  
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 27N, AND N 10 TO 15 KT N OF  
27N. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE NIGHT  
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S OF 27N, AND NE 20 TO 25 KT N  
OF 27N. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
WED  
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
WED NIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.    
THU  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S OF 27N, AND E 10 TO 15 KT N OF  
27N. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TPC Page
Main Text Page