724  
FZNT24 KNHC 100954  
OFFNT4  
 
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL  
409 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
 
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO  
 
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT, WHICH IS THE AVERAGE  
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE  
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.  
 
GMZ001-102115-  
SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO  
409 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL IS CENTERED NEAR 26.1N 91.8W AT  
10/0900 UTC OR 310 NM NNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO, MOVING NNW AT 2 KT.  
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED  
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK, AND RAFAEL IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE TO  
A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY MONDAY. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO  
MEANDER OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT, THEN  
TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.  
RAFAEL WILL MOVE TO 26.4N 91.7W THIS AFTERNOON, WEAKEN TO A  
REMNANT LOW NEAR 26.2N 90.9W MON MORNING, 25.4N 90.7W MON  
AFTERNOON, 24.3N 91.3W TUE MORNING, 23.5N 92.5W TUE AFTERNOON,  
AND DISSIPATE WED MORNING. LOOKING AHEAD, MODERATE TO LOCALLY  
FRESH E WINDS WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF ON  
WED AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. A SECOND  
COLD FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATE  
THIS WEEK, REINFORCING FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NE WINDS AND ROUGH  
SEAS ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF.  
 

 
 
GMZ040-102115-  
NW GULF INCLUDING STETSON BANK-  
409 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
   
TODAY
 
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.    
TONIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.    
MON
 
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
TUE
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
WED
 
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
THU
 
N TO NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ041-102115-  
SW LOUISIANA OFFSHORE WATERS INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANK MARINE  
SANCTUARY-  
409 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
   
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
 
 
   
TODAY
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W OF 92W, NE TO E  
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT, BECOMING N TO NE 15 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
E OF 92W, E WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
TONIGHT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N TO NE WINDS  
20 TO 25 KT W OF 92W, AND N TO NE 25 TO 35 KT E OF 92W. SEAS 6 TO  
8 FT IN E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON
 
N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
TUE
 
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
WED
 
SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
W OF 92W, VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 KT, BECOMING N  
TO NE 10 KT LATE. E OF 92W, SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT,  
SHIFTING TO N LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
THU
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ056-102115-  
N CENTRAL GULF OFFSHORE WATERS-  
409 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
   
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
 
 
   
TODAY
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE WINDS 25 TO  
35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS.    
TONIGHT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W OF 89W, SE  
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT, DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE. E OF 89W, SE  
WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
TSTMS.    
MON
 
SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE
 
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
THU
 
W OF 89W, N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. E OF 89W, VARIABLE WINDS  
LESS THAN 5 KT, BECOMING N 10 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS  
3 TO 5 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ057-102115-  
NE GULF N OF 26N E OF 87W-  
409 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
   
TODAY
 
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
TONIGHT
 
SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
MON
 
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.   
TUE
 
E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.    
TUE NIGHT
 
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.    
WED
 
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
THU
 
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, SHIFTING TO W IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN SE SWELL.  
 

 
 
GMZ058-102115-  
W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W-  
409 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
   
TODAY
 
NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.   
TONIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT W OF 96W, AND N 15 TO 20 KT  
E OF 96W. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
MON
 
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
TUE
 
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, SHIFTING TO W TO NW LATE.  
SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
WED
 
SW TO W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
THU
 
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.  
 

 
 
GMZ045-102115-  
W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W-  
409 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
   
TODAY
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S OF 24N, W WINDS  
10 TO 15 KT. N OF 24N, W WINDS 25 TO 30 KT, BECOMING W TO NW 15  
TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.    
TONIGHT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NW WINDS 10 TO  
15 KT S OF 24N, AND NW 25 TO 30 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.    
MON
 
NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S OF 24N, AND NW TO N 20 TO 25 KT N  
OF 24N. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON NIGHT
 
N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
TUE
 
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT, SHIFTING TO S LATE.  
SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
WED
 
S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
THU
 
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ046-102115-  
CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 91W-  
409 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
   
TODAY
 
S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 24N, AND SE TO S 25 TO 30 KT N  
OF 24N. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
TONIGHT
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE TO S WINDS  
10 TO 15 KT S OF 24N, AND S 25 TO 30 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON
 
S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 24N, AND SE TO S 20 TO  
25 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
TSTMS.    
MON NIGHT
 
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 24N, AND SE 15 TO 20 KT N  
OF 24N. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE
 
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
THU
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ047-102115-  
SE GULF FROM 22N TO 26N E OF 87W INCLUDING STRAITS OF FLORIDA-  
409 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
   
TODAY
 
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TONIGHT
 
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON
 
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.    
TUE
 
NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.    
TUE NIGHT
 
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
THU
 
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ048-102115-  
SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W-  
409 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
   
TODAY
 
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TONIGHT
 
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON
 
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE
 
N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.    
TUE NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 KT IN THE EVENING, BECOMING  
VARIABLE LESS THAN 5 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.    
WED
 
VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 KT, BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 10 KT, SHIFTING TO NW LATE. SEAS  
3 FT OR LESS.    
THU
 
NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT, BUILDING TO  
6 TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 

 
 
GMZ049-102115-  
CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE-  
409 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
   
TODAY
 
W TO NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
TONIGHT
 
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON
 
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON NIGHT
 
NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE
 
NW TO N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN N SWELL.    
TUE NIGHT
 
NW TO N WINDS 10 KT IN THE EVENING, BECOMING  
VARIABLE LESS THAN 5 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT IN N SWELL.    
WED
 
VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT IN N SWELL.    
WED NIGHT
 
N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.    
THU
 
NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.  
 

 
 
GMZ050-102115-  
E BAY OF CAMPECHE INCLUDING CAMPECHE BANK-  
409 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
   
TODAY
 
SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
TONIGHT
 
NW WINDS 10 KT, SHIFTING TO SW TO W LATE.  
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.    
MON
 
W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TUE
 
W TO NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.    
TUE NIGHT
 
NW WINDS 10 KT, SHIFTING TO E LATE. SEAS  
2 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
E TO SE WINDS 10 KT, SHIFTING TO N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS  
2 TO 4 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.    
THU
 
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.  
 

 
 
FORECASTER ADAMS  
 
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