882  
FZNT25 KNHC 101545  
OFFN04  
 
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL  
1045 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
 
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE  
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED  
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...  
 
SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO  
   
SYNOPSIS  
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL IS CENTERED NEAR 26.3N 91.9W  
AT 1500 UTC, OR 320 NM NNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO, MOVING NNW AT  
3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. GRADUAL  
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. RAFAEL IS  
EXPECTED TO MEANDER OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH  
TONIGHT, REACHING NEAR 26.4N 91.3W THIS EVENING AS A TROPICAL  
DEPRESSION, THEN TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST,  
REACHING NEAR 25.9N 90.8W AS A REMNANT LOW MON MORNING, NEAR  
24.1N 91.8W TUE MORNING, THEN CONTINUE TO DRIFT SW AND GRADUALLY  
DISSIPATE TUE NIGHT. LOOKING AHEAD, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH E  
WINDS WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF ON WED AS A  
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. A SECOND COLD  
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATE THIS  
WEEK, REINFORCING FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NE WINDS AND ROUGH  
SEAS ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF.  
   
TODAY  
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
TONIGHT  
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON  
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
MON NIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
TUE  
NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
TUE NIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
WED  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
WED NIGHT  
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
THU  
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
THU NIGHT  
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.  
 
WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA  
   
SYNOPSIS  
STRONG TO NEAR GALE-FORCE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ARE  
OCCURRING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF A 1011 MB LOW, CENTERED NEAR  
24.5N72.5W. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO STRONG SPEEDS TODAY AS  
THE LOW MOVES W AND WEAKENS. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE  
TO PROGRESS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ATLANTIC  
THROUGH MON, REACHING ALONG 23N THIS EVENING, AND ALONG 19N-20N  
BY MON BEFORE STALLING AND WEAKENING THROUGH TUE. EXPECT  
WIDESPREAD FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY  
ROUGH SEAS IN N SWELL TO FOLLOW THE FRONT THROUGH MON MORNING  
BEFORE DIMINISHING TUE. N SWELL WILL REACH THE NE CARIBBEAN MON  
MORNING AND THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WATERS MON AFTERNOON AND  
NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH E TRADES AND  
MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WILL OCCUR EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS  
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE  
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST TUE EVENING WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND  
OF FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS NORTH OF THE GREATER  
ANTILLES AND WEST OF 55W BY THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK.  
   
TODAY  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S OF 27N, AND E 20 TO 25 KT N  
OF 27N. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.    
TONIGHT  
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S OF 27N, AND E TO SE 15 TO 20 KT  
N OF 27N. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON  
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON NIGHT  
E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
TUE  
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE NIGHT  
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
WED  
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
WED NIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.    
THU  
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
THU NIGHT  
SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN NE SWELL.  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TPC Page
Main Text Page