015  
FZNT25 KNHC 102115  
OFFN04  
 
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL  
415 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
 
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE  
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED  
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...  
 
SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAFAEL IS CENTERED NEAR 26.1N  
91.3W AT 2100 UTC, OR 300 NM NNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO, MOVING E AT  
3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. THE REMNANT  
LOW OF RAFAEL IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT EASTWARD TONIGHT, REACHING  
NEAR 25.8N 90.9W AROUND MIDNIGHT, THEN TURN SOUTH AND REACH NEAR  
25.1N 90.7W MIDDAY MON, REACH NEAR 23.2N 92W MIDDAY TUE, THEN  
DRIFT SW AND DISSIPATE TUE NIGHT. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH E  
WINDS WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF ON WED AS A  
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND FLORIDA. A  
SECOND COLD FRONT WILL SINK INTO THE NW GULF ON THU AND REACH  
THE SE GULF BY FRI NIGHT  
   
TONIGHT
 
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON
 
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
MON NIGHT
 
NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
TUE
 
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
WED
 
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
THU
 
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
THU NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
FRI
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
FRI NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.  
 
WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS CONTINUE TO THE NORTH  
AND WEST OF A 1013 MB LOW, CENTERED NEAR 24.5N72.5W. WINDS AND  
SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT THROUGH MON AS THE LOW  
MOVES W-NW ACROSS THE BAHAMAS AND WEAKENS. A STRONG COLD FRONT  
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN  
ATLANTIC, REACHING ALONG 22N THIS EVENING, AND ALONG 19N-20N  
BY MON BEFORE STALLING AND WEAKENING THROUGH TUE. EXPECT  
WIDESPREAD FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY  
ROUGH SEAS IN N SWELL TO FOLLOW THE FRONT THROUGH MON MORNING  
BEFORE WINDS DIMINISH TUE. N SWELL WILL REACH THE NE CARIBBEAN  
MON MORNING AND THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WATERS MON AFTERNOON AND  
NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH E TRADES AND  
MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WILL PREVAIL EAST OF THE WINDWARD  
ISLANDS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVING  
OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST TUE WILL REACH FROM BERMUDA TO  
CENTRAL FLORIDA TUE NIGHT, AND FROM 28N55W TO THE NORTH COAST  
OF HISPANIOLA WED NIGHT BEFORE STALLING.  
   
TONIGHT
 
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT S OF 27N, AND E TO SE 15 TO 20 KT  
N OF 27N. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON
 
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
MON NIGHT
 
E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
TUE
 
NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUE NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
WED
 
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.    
THU
 
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.    
THU NIGHT
 
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
FRI
 
N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
FRI NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.  
 
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