081
ABNT20 KNHC 131732
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST WED NOV 13 2024
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO:
CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA (AL99):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM WITHIN THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD INTO THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. AFTERWARD, FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY
WHILE THE DISTURBANCE MEANDERS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN SLOWLY
NORTHWESTWARD BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. INTERESTS ACROSS THE WESTERN AND
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED OVER
JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. FOR MORE
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM, INCLUDING GALE WARNINGS, SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM
TOMORROW MORNING.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1, WMO HEADER FZNT01
KWBC, AND ONLINE AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFAT1.PHP
FORECASTER KELLY
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