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FONT14 KNHC 140848  
PWSAT4  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024  
0900 UTC THU NOV 14 2024  
 
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)  
 
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)  
 
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 6(14)  
 
BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 10(16) 9(25) 6(31)  
BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7)  
 
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 5(20) 3(23)  
 
GUANAJA 34 X 6( 6) 25(31) 14(45) 21(66) 3(69) 1(70)  
GUANAJA 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 10(22) 2(24) 1(25)  
GUANAJA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)  
 
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
S SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)  
 
TEGUCIGALPA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)  
 
P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)  
 
SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)  
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5)  
 
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
 
FORECASTER HAGEN  
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