448
WTNT24 KNHC 141448
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024
1500 UTC THU NOV 14 2024
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 82.6W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 82.6W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 82.2W
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 15.7N 83.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.9N 84.9W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.9N 85.4W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.9N 85.8W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.0N 86.2W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.2N 87.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 18.0N 89.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 21.7N 91.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 82.6W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
FORECASTER KELLY
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