487
WTNT24 KNHC 142044
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM SARA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024
2100 UTC THU NOV 14 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 83.5W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 83.5W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 83.1W
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.0N 84.7W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.1N 85.5W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.1N 85.9W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.1N 86.4W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.3N 87.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.7N 88.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 30SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 19.3N 90.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 83.5W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 15/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
FORECASTER BROWN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page