664
WTNT34 KNHC 171735
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SARA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024
1200 PM CST SUN NOV 17 2024
..SARA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS DISCONTINUED BUT HEAVY RAINFALL
CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 89.0W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM W OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
THE GOVERNMENTS OF GUATEMALA, BELIZE, AND MEXICO HAVE DISCONTINUED
ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THEIR COASTAL REGIONS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1200 PM CST (1800 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SARA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 89.0 WEST. SARA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH (13 KM/H). A TURN
NORTHWESTWARD WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF SARA WILL MOVE
FURTHER INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY BEFORE IT OPENS UP
INTO A TROUGH BY TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AS THE DEPRESSION
MOVES FURTHER INLAND, AND SARA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW
BEFORE IT OPENS UP INTO A TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB (29.62 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION SARA CAN BE FOUND IN THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT4 AND WMO
HEADER WTNT44 KNHC AND ON THE WEB AT
HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT4.SHTML
RAINFALL: ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER NORTHERN HONDURAS, WITH STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS LOCALLY AS HIGH AS
40 INCHES. THE RISK OF CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING
IMPACTS WILL CONTINUE, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NEAR THE SIERRA LA
ESPERANZA.
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE, EL SALVADOR, EASTERN GUATEMALA, WESTERN
NICARAGUA, AND THE MEXICAN STATE OF QUINTANA ROO, TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SARA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES
OF RAIN WITH LOCALIZED STORM TOTALS AROUND 15 INCHES. THIS WILL
RESULT IN AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, PERHAPS SIGNIFICANT, ALONG WITH
THE POTENTIAL OF MUDSLIDES.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SARA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/REFRESH/GRAPHICS_AT4+SHTML/205755.SHTML?
RAINQPF#CONTENTS
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 300 PM CST.
FORECASTER PAPIN
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