924
AXPZ20 KNHC 192235
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED FEB 19 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2130 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU BEHIND A
COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF AMERICA, AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. STRONG GALE FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED THU MORNING THROUGH LATE THU NIGHT. PEAK SEAS
OF 14 TO 19 FT WILL ACCOMPANY THE WINDS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
BELOW GALE FORCE FRI EVENING, WITH SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDING ON SAT.
FOR DETAILS, PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS AND
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT THE WEBSITES:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/OFFSHORES_EASTPAC.PHP FOR MORE
DETAILS.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
A MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 06N121W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 06N121W TO BEYOND 03N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM 04N TO 09N EAST OF 90W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION
REGARDING THE GALE WARNING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
A 1018 MB LOW HAS BEEN ANALYZED OVER SOUTHEASTERN CALIFORNIA,
AND TROUGHING EXTENDS SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE LOW THROUGH WESTERN
MEXICO. OTHERWISE, WEAK RIDGING PREVAILS OVER THE REST OF THE
MEXICO OFFSHORE WATERS. THIS PATTERN SUPPORTS MODERATE NW WINDS
OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO, WITH LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS OCCURRING THROUGH THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AS
DEPICTED BY RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA. SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FT ARE
NOTED OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF 19N, WITH SEAS OF 3 TO
6 FT OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO, AND 1 TO 2 FT SEAS THROUGH
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, ROUGH SEAS IN NW SWELL OFFSHORE OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA WILL DIMINISH INTO THIS EVENING. A WEAKENING COLD
FRONT MOVING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL LEAD TO
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NW WINDS AND WILL RENEW ROUGH SEAS
OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE THIS EVENING INTO EARLY FRI.
FARTHER SOUTH, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OFFSHORE OF JALISCO AND MICHOACAN TONIGHT INTO THU MORNING AS A
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH
THE WESTERN GULF OF AMERICA AND A TROUGH IN WESTERN MEXICO.
LOOKING AHEAD, MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS
WEEKEND THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND
OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AS TROUGHING PREVAILS IN THE
REGION.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE TO FRESH E TO NE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO AS LOW PRESSURE PREVAILS IN THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE N TO NE WINDS ARE NOTED
NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, WITH GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE SW
WINDS OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE TROUGH. SEAS OF 2 TO 5 FT PREVAIL IN
THE WATERS OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA.
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS WILL
OCCUR IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING EACH NIGHT AND MORNING. MODERATE TO
ROUGH SEAS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS. ELSEWHERE, N WINDS WILL
PULSE TO MODERATE TO FRESH SPEEDS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA EACH
NIGHT AND MORNING THU NIGHT THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. OTHERWISE,
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH THE FAR NORTHWESTERN WATERS FROM
30N131W TO 28N140W. RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE DATA SHOWS
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NE TO E WINDS NORTH OF THE FRONT, AND
ACCOMPANYING SEAS OF 7 TO 8 FT. OTHERWISE, RIDGING EXTENDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS, SUPPORTING MODERATE N
TO NE WINDS ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE NORTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ. LOCALLY FRESH E TO NE WINDS HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED ON SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE DATA FROM 05N TO 25N WEST OF
125W. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ, GENTLE TO LOCALLY
MODERATE SE WINDS PREVAIL. MULTIPLE SETS OF NW SWELL ARE
PROMOTING ROUGH SEAS OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF 19N AND
EAST OF 125W, AND LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS FROM 05N TO 23N WEST OF
120W.
FOR THE FORECAST, A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM 30N131W TO 28N140W
WILL DRIFT SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THU, PRODUCING MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NE TO E WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS NORTH OF THE FRONT. A
WEAKENING COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST
WILL PROMOTE FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG N TO NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS
NORTH OF 26.5N AND EAST OF 125W LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRI.
MIXED NW AND W SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ROUGH SEAS NORTH OF
05N AND WEST OF 120W THROUGH FRI BEFORE SEAS DIMINISH INTO THIS
WEEKEND. OTHERWISE, RIDGING EXTENDING THROUGH THE EASTERN PACIFIC
WATERS WILL SUPPORT MODERATE N TO NE WINDS NORTH OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH AND ITCZ, WITH LOCALLY FRESH WINDS OCCURRING FROM 05N TO
25N WEST OF 120W.
ADAMS
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