620
AXPZ20 KNHC 200334
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU FEB 20 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU BEHIND A
COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF AMERICA, AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. STRONG GALE FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED THU MORNING THROUGH LATE THU NIGHT. PEAK SEAS
OF 14 TO 19 FT WILL ACCOMPANY THE WINDS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
BELOW GALE FORCE FRI EVENING, WITH SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDING ON SAT.
FOR DETAILS, PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS AND
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT THE WEBSITES:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/OFFSHORES_EASTPAC.PHP FOR MORE
DETAILS.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 05N78W TO 06N110W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 06N110W TO BEYOND 03N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION
REGARDING THE GALE WARNING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
WEAK RIDGING PREVAILS OVER THE MEXICO OFFSHORE WATERS. THIS
PATTERN SUPPORTS GENTLE TO MODERATE NW WINDS OFFSHORE OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO, WITH GENTLE TO LOCALLY
MODERATE WINDS OCCURRING THROUGH THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. SEAS OF
7 TO 9 FT ARE NOTED OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF 19N,
WITH SEAS OF 3 TO 7 FT OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO, AND 1 TO
2 FT SEAS THROUGH THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA PER RECENT ALTIMETER
DATA.
FOR THE FORECAST, ASIDE FROM THE GALE WARNING IN EFFECT OVER THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, ROUGH SEAS IN NW SWELL OFFSHORE OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA WILL DIMINISH INTO THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT MOVING
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL LEAD TO MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NW TO N WINDS AND WILL RENEW ROUGH SEAS OFFSHORE
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE THIS EVENING INTO FRI. FARTHER SOUTH,
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED OFFSHORE OF
JALISCO TONIGHT INTO THU MORNING AS A PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS
BETWEEN A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF AMERICA
AND A 1006 MB LOW OVER WESTERN MEXICO. LOOKING AHEAD, MODERATE
TO FRESH NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE SAT AND PREVAIL THROUGH TUE
OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND OFFSHORE OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AS TROUGHING PREVAILS IN THE REGION.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE TO FRESH E TO NE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO AS RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURES PREVAILS IN THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE N TO NE
WINDS ARE NOTED NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, WITH GENTLE TO
LOCALLY MODERATE SW WINDS OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE TROUGH. SEAS OF
3 TO 5 FT PREVAIL IN THE WATERS OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH
AMERICA.
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS WILL
OCCUR IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING EACH NIGHT AND MORNING. MODERATE TO
ROUGH SEAS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS. ELSEWHERE, N WINDS WILL
PULSE TO MODERATE TO FRESH SPEEDS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA EACH
NIGHT AND MORNING BEGINNING THU NIGHT AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH
AMERICA INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N127W TO 31N130W. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NE TO E WINDS PREVAIL AHEAD AND BEHIND THE FRONT.
SEAS IN THESE WATERS ARE 6 TO 8 FT. OTHERWISE, RIDGING EXTENDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS, SUPPORTING MODERATE N
TO NE WINDS ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE NORTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS PREVAIL
FROM 05N TO 25N WEST OF 120W, WITH SEAS 6 TO 8 FT PER RECENT
ALTIMETER DATA. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ, GENTLE TO
LOCALLY MODERATE SE WINDS PREVAIL. MULTIPLE SETS OF NW SWELL ARE
PROMOTING SEAS TO 8 FT OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF 19N
AND EAST OF 125W.
FOR THE FORECAST, A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE
CALIFORNIA COAST WILL PROMOTE FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG N TO NE
WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS NORTH OF 27N AND EAST OF 125W LATE TONIGHT
INTO EARLY FRI. MIXED NW AND W SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
ROUGH SEAS NORTH OF 05N AND WEST OF 120W THROUGH FRI BEFORE SEAS
DIMINISH INTO THIS WEEKEND. OTHERWISE, RIDGING EXTENDING THROUGH
THE EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS WILL SUPPORT MODERATE N TO NE WINDS
NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ, WITH LOCALLY FRESH WINDS
OCCURRING FROM 05N TO 25N WEST OF 120W. IT IS ON MONDAY WHEN
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG SPEEDS WITH SEAS PEAKING
TO 10 FT NORTH OF THE ITCZ, FROM 06N TO 15N BETWEEN 120W AND
130W.
KRV
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