401
AXPZ20 KNHC 200918
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU FEB 20 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0800 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
WESTERN GULF OF AMERICA, AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN THE WAKE
OF THE FRONT. STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED THU MORNING
THROUGH LATE THU NIGHT. PEAK SEAS OF 12 TO 15 FT WILL ACCOMPANY
THE WINDS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE FRI LATE NIGHT,
WITH SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDING ON SAT.
FOR DETAILS, PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS AND
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT THE WEBSITES:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/OFFSHORES_EASTPAC.PHP FOR MORE
DETAILS.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N81W TO 07N110W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 07N110W TO BEYOND 03N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 111W AND 123W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION
REGARDING THE GALE WARNING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
WEAK RIDGING PREVAILS OVER THE MEXICO OFFSHORE WATERS. THIS
PATTERN SUPPORTS GENTLE TO MODERATE NW WINDS OFFSHORE OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO, EXCEPT FOR MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH WINDS OFF THE COAST OF JALISCO, MX PER LATEST ASCAT
PASS. GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FT ARE NOTED OFFSHORE OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTH OF 19N, WITH SEAS OF 3 TO 7 FT OFFSHORE OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO, AND 1 TO 3 FT SEAS THROUGH THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA PER EARLIER ALTIMETER DATA.
FOR THE FORECAST, ASIDE FROM THE GALE WARNING IN EFFECT OVER THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, A DECAYING COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL LEAD TO MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH
NW TO N WINDS AND WILL SUPPORT ROUGH SEAS OFFSHORE OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE TODAY AND FRI. FARTHER SOUTH, MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NW WINDS WILL CONTINUE OFFSHORE OF JALISCO THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A COLD
FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF AMERICA AND A TROUGH
ANALYZED OVER WESTERN MEXICO. LOOKING AHEAD, MODERATE TO FRESH NW
WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE SAT AND PREVAIL THROUGH MON LATE NIGHT
OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND OFFSHORE OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AS TROUGHING PREVAILS IN THE REGION.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NE TO E WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE GULF
OF PAPAGAYO AS RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURES PREVAILS IN THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE N TO NE
WINDS ARE NOTED NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, WITH GENTLE TO
LOCALLY MODERATE SW TO W WINDS OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE TROUGH.
SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FT PREVAIL IN THE WATERS OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTH AMERICA.
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS WILL
PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH MON, WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING EACH NIGHT AND MORNING. MODERATE TO
ROUGH SEAS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS. ELSEWHERE, N WINDS WILL
PULSE TO MODERATE TO FRESH SPEEDS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA EACH
NIGHT AND MORNING BEGINNING THU NIGHT AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH
AMERICA INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NE TO E WINDS PREVAIL N OF 26N EAST OF
125W PER LATEST ASCAT. SEAS IN THESE WATERS ARE 6 TO 8 FT.
OTHERWISE, RIDGING EXTENDS THROUGH MUCH OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC
WATERS, SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS ALONG THE PERIPHERY
OF THE RIDGE NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ WITH SEAS 6 TO
8 FT. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS PREVAIL FROM 17N TO 24N WEST
OF 133W, WITH SEAS 7 TO 9 FT. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND
ITCZ, GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE SE WINDS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, A DECAYING COLD FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA WILL
SUPPORT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG N TO NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS
NORTH OF 27N AND EAST OF 125W TODAY INTO EARLY FRI. MIXED NW AND
W SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ROUGH SEAS NORTH OF 05N AND WEST
OF 120W THROUGH FRI BEFORE SEAS DIMINISH INTO THIS WEEKEND.
OTHERWISE, RIDGING EXTENDING THROUGH THE EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS
WILL SUPPORT MODERATE N TO NE WINDS NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH
AND ITCZ, WITH LOCALLY FRESH WINDS OCCURRING FROM 05N TO 25N WEST
OF 120W. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG
WINDS WITH SEAS PEAKING TO 10 FT NORTH OF THE ITCZ, FROM 06N TO
15N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W BEGINNING ON MON.
KRV
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