088   
AXPZ20 KNHC 270348  
TWDEP  
  
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
0405 UTC THU MAR 27 2025  
  
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM  
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND  
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING  
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,  
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.  
  
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH  
0348 UTC.  
   
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH  
  
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 05N78W TO 02N101W. THE ITCZ   
EXTENDS FROM 05N108W TO 04N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED   
STRONG CONVECTION IS DEPICTED FROM 02N TO 07N BETWEEN 83W AND  
93W.  
   
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO  
  
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH N WINDS AND LOCALLY MODERATE SEAS IN N  
SWELL ARE ONGOING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AS TROUGHING   
PREVAILS NORTH OF THE REGION. ELSEWHERE, A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS  
FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND A   
1021 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N125W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT   
BETWEEN THESE FEATURES IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY NW   
WINDS, AND SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FT OFF THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.   
LOCALLY MODERATE SW WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE FAR NORTHERN GULF OF   
CALIFORNIA, WITH GENTLE WINDS OCCURRING ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE   
GULF. OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS OF 5   
TO 6 FT PREVAIL OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.   
  
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE GULF OF   
TEHUANTEPEC WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THU MORNING. LOCALLY MODERATE   
SEAS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS. ELSEWHERE, PRESSURE GRADIENT   
WILL TIGHTEN OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AS A   
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THE WAKE OF A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT AND   
A LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS. AS A RESULT,  
NE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO MODERATE TO FRESH SPEEDS WITH LOCALLY   
STRONG WINDS THU AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  
A LONG PERIOD NW SWELL WILL PROGRESS SOUTHEASTWARD FRI MORNING   
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, PRODUCING ROUGH SEAS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT   
OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE BY FRI MORNING, AND BY FRI   
AFTERNOON OVER THE OFFSHORE WATER OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. THIS   
SWELL WILL REACH THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SAT   
NIGHT. PEAK SEAS OF 10 TO 13 FT WILL IMPACT AREAS NORTH OF CABO   
SAN LAZARO FRI MORNING THROUGH SAT. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE FROM   
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.   
  
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,   
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...  
  
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NE WINDS AND LOCALLY MODERATE SEAS IN NE  
SWELL ARE OCCURRING IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AS LOW PRESSURE   
PREVAILS OVER NORTHWESTERN COLOMBIA AND TROUGHING PERSISTS NORTH   
OF THE REGION. PULSING FRESH N WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE GULF OF   
PANAMA. OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS OF 3  
TO 6 FT IN S SWELL ARE OCCURRING THROUGH THE REST OF THE WATERS   
OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA.  
  
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS WILL OCCUR IN  
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, WITH THE STRONGEST   
WINDS OCCURRING EACH EVENING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.   
LOCALLY MODERATE SEAS IN NE SWELL WILL ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS.   
FARTHER EAST, N WINDS WILL PULSE TO FRESH SPEEDS IN THE GULF OF   
PANAMA THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. OTHERWISE, MODERATE SEAS IN S TO SW   
SWELL WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE WATERS OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AND   
SOUTH AMERICA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.   
   
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA.  
  
A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN WATERS FROM   
30N130W TO 26N140W, AND GENTLE TO MODERATE NW WINDS ARE   
OCCURRING TO THE NORTH OF THIS FRONT. ROUGH SEAS OF 8 TO 12 FT   
ARE OCCURRING NORTH OF 26N AND WEST OF 131W. OTHERWISE, A 1021   
MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 26N125W EXTENDS RIDGING THROUGH MUCH OF   
THE EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS. MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS ARE   
OCCURRING ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE, FROM NORTH OF THE   
ITCZ TO 20N, GENERALLY WEST OF 112W. A RESIDUAL NW SWELL IS   
LEADING TO SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FT IN THIS REGION. OTHERWISE, GENTLE   
TO LOCALLY MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND SEAS OF 6 TO 7 FT PREVAIL   
OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS.  
  
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AFOREMENTIONED STATIONARY FRONT WILL   
PROGRESS SOUTHEASTWARD AS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THU, LEADING TO   
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NE TO NW WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE   
FRONT. A LONG- PERIOD NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM WILL EXPAND  
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND,   
SUPPORTING SEAS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT NORTH OF 22N AND WEST OF 122W   
THROUGH THU NIGHT, AND NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF 116W THROUGH FRI   
MORNING. PEAK SEAS OF 12 TO 17 FT ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF 24N   
BETWEEN 120W AND 140W TONIGHT THROUGH SAT MORNING. ELSEWHERE,   
FRESH NE WINDS GENERATED BY GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO   
WILL EXTEND AS FAR SOUTH AND WEST AS 08N94W THU MORNING THROUGH   
FRI. OTHERWISE, A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE  
WEAKENING COLD FRONT AND RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL   
LEAD TO FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS BETWEEN 05N   
AND 20N WEST OF 115W, WITH THE MOST WIDESPREAD FRESH WINDS   
OCCURRING FRI INTO SAT. LOOKING AHEAD, A COLD FRONT IS SLATED TO   
MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN WATERS WATERS THIS WEEKEND, LEADING  
TO FRESH TO STRONG SW WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT.   
  
  
KRV  
 
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