008
AXPZ20 KNHC 102047
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU APR 10 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2000 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY GAP WINDS
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL RETURN THIS EVENING AS HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES INTO EASTERN MEXICO. THERE MAY BE A BRIEF LULL
IN GALES DURING THE DAY FRI, BEFORE A STRONGER HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS SOUTHWARD INTO EASTERN MEXICO FRI NIGHT, INTRODUCING A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF PROLONGED GALES THAT WILL PREVAIL INTO SUN.
SEAS ON SAT ARE LIKELY TO PEAK AROUND 15 FT. BY SUN NIGHT, THE
RESPONSIBLE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST AND WEAKEN, AND MARINE
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE.
PLEASE REFER TO THE THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE DETAILS.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 06N90W TO 03N94W. THE
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 03N94W TO 03N130W TO 00N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 03.4S TO 04N BETWEEN 79W AND
85W FROM 03.4S TO 07.5N BETWEEN 87.5W AND 97W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ON A GALE
WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING THE WATERS IS LEADING TO MODERATE OR
WEAKER WINDS THROUGHOUT THE REGION. SEAS ARE 5 TO 7 FT IN
PRIMARILY NW SWELL NORTH OF 20N, AND PRIMARILY SW SWELL SOUTH OF
18N, WITH SEAS LOCALLY TO 8 FT NEAR AND SOUTHWEST OF THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, SEAS ARE 3 FT
OR LESS.
FOR THE FORECAST, SOUTHERLY SWELL WILL BUILD WAVE HEIGHTS TO
ROUGH OFFSHORE SW MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT. LARGE NW SWELL MAY
IMPACT THE BAJA CALIFORNIA WATERS THIS WEEKEND, SUBSIDING EARLY
NEXT WEEK. LOOKING AHEAD, MORE GAP WINDS MAY DEVELOP NEXT TUE OR
WED IN THE GULF OF TEHUNATEPEC.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NE WINDS ARE THE PAPAGAYO REGION, WHERE
SEAS TO 8 TO 10 FT. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH N TO NE WINDS ARE
IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. WINDS ARE LIGHT TO GENTLE ELSEWHERE. SEAS
ARE 5 TO 8 FT, IN MODERATE TO LARGE SW SWELL THAT HAS BEEN
ARRIVING INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE DAY.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTHWARD INTO THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL LEAD TO PULSING FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E
GAP WINDS IN THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOCALLY
FRESH WINDS WILL PULSE DURING THIS TIME IN THE GULF OF PANAMA.
LARGE N SWELL FROM GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALES WILL PROPAGATE INTO
THE WATERS OFFSHORE GUATEMALA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SW SWELL WILL
CAUSE OCCASIONAL ROUGH SEAS FOR MOST OF THE WATERS INTO FRI,
BEFORE THE SWELL SUBSIDES THIS WEEKEND.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA.
HIGH PRESSURE IS ANALYZED JUST NORTH OF 30N WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE
CALIFORNIA CHANNEL ISLANDS. A COLD FRONT IS MOVING INTO THE
WATERS JUST SOUTHEAST OF 30N140W WITH FRESH WINDS AND BUILDING
SEAS IN NW SWELL BEHIND IT. MODERATE TRADES ARE FOUND NORTH OF
THE ITCZ TO AROUND 18N AND WEST OF 110W. WINDS ARE MAINLY GENTLE
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE OPEN WATERS. SEAS ARE 7 TO 10 FT IN
MERGING SW AND NW SWELL SOUTH OF 20N, AND 4 TO 7 FT NORTH OF 20N
IN DECAYING NW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE EXTENSIVE SWELL OVER THE WATERS SOUTH OF
20N WILL GRADUALLY DECAY FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. A PROLONGED GULF OF TEHUNATEPEC GALE WILL SEND NE SWELL
WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE SOURCE REGION TOWARD THE CENTRAL WATERS
MIXING WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SW SWELL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A
COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE FAR NW WATERS WILL BRING FRESH WINDS
AND BUILDING NW SWELL BEHIND IT. THAT SWELL WILL BUILD WAVE
HEIGHTS TO 7 TO 10 FT, MAINLY NORTH OF 23N OR SO THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. WINDS WILL FRESHEN WEST OF 130W BEGINNING FRI NIGHT AND
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE
REGION IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.
KONARIK
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