426  
WTPZ21 KNHC 292032  
TCMEP1  
 
TROPICAL STORM ALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012025  
2100 UTC THU MAY 29 2025  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 107.2W AT 29/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.  
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.  
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 20SW 70NW.  
4 M SEAS....120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 107.2W AT 29/2100Z  
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 106.8W  
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.0N 108.0W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT...100NE 60SE 20SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.6N 108.7W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 19.1N 109.0W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 20.5N 109.1W...POST-TROPICAL  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.0N 109.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 107.2W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z  
 
 
FORECASTER MORA/KELLY  
 
 
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