853
WTPZ24 KNHC 122043
TCMEP4
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025
2100 UTC THU JUN 12 2025
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 100.2W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 100.2W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 100.1W
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 12.0N 100.4W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 13.3N 101.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE 100SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.3N 102.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.5N 104.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.5N 106.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 85SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.1N 108.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.3N 112.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 100.2W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 13/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
FORECASTER KELLY
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