384
FOPZ14 KNHC 122044
PWSEP4
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR-E
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025
2100 UTC THU JUN 12 2025
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
15N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 34(42) 10(52) X(52) X(52)
15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14)
15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
15N 100W 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ACAPULCO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
P MALDONADO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) X(16)
FORECASTER KELLY
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