788
WTPZ44 KNHC 152038
TCDEP4
TROPICAL STORM DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025
200 PM MST SUN JUN 15 2025
DALILA'S CONVECTION HAS COLLAPSED, LEAVING BEHIND A SINGLE
FRAGMENTED BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS. SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE
SATELLITE ESTIMATES HAVE LOWERED THIS CYCLE AND THE INITIAL
INTENSITY HAS BEEN REDUCED TO 40 KT BASED ON A BLEND OF THE TAFB AND
SAB DVORAK ESTIMATES. DALILA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS
THE STORM MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS AND INTO A HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT.
THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST PREDICTS DALILA TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL
REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.
THE STORM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KT AND SHOULD CONTINUE
GRADUALLY TURNING WESTWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. A MORE WESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO UNTIL THE SYSTEM
DISSIPATES IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 15/2100Z 18.2N 108.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 16/0600Z 18.3N 109.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 16/1800Z 18.3N 111.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 17/0600Z 18.2N 113.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 17/1800Z 18.2N 115.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER BUCCI
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