788  
WTPZ44 KNHC 152038  
TCDEP4  
 
TROPICAL STORM DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025  
200 PM MST SUN JUN 15 2025  
 
DALILA'S CONVECTION HAS COLLAPSED, LEAVING BEHIND A SINGLE  
FRAGMENTED BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS. SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE  
SATELLITE ESTIMATES HAVE LOWERED THIS CYCLE AND THE INITIAL  
INTENSITY HAS BEEN REDUCED TO 40 KT BASED ON A BLEND OF THE TAFB AND  
SAB DVORAK ESTIMATES. DALILA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS  
THE STORM MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS AND INTO A HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT.  
THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST PREDICTS DALILA TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL  
REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.  
 
THE STORM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KT AND SHOULD CONTINUE  
GRADUALLY TURNING WESTWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. A MORE WESTWARD  
MOTION IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO UNTIL THE SYSTEM  
DISSIPATES IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.  
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS  
 
INIT 15/2100Z 18.2N 108.4W 40 KT 45 MPH  
12H 16/0600Z 18.3N 109.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
24H 16/1800Z 18.3N 111.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
36H 17/0600Z 18.2N 113.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
48H 17/1800Z 18.2N 115.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
60H 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED  
 

 
FORECASTER BUCCI  
 
 
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