262
WTPZ44 KNHC 160234
TCDEP4
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025
800 PM MST SUN JUN 15 2025
DALILA IS NO LONGER PRODUCING ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION AND HAS
BECOME A REMNANT LOW. THEREFORE, THIS WILL BE THE LAST NHC ADVISORY
ON DALILA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 30 KT, BASED ON
RECENT DVORAK ESTIMATES AND THE UW-CIMSS AIDT.
THE REMNANT LOW HAS CONTINUED ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD HEADING
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS, BUT A TURN WESTWARD IS STILL EXPECTED
TONIGHT. THE CYCLONE WILL SHOULD THEN CONTINUE WESTWARD FOR ANOTHER
DAY OR SO WHILE SLOWLY SPINNING DOWN OVER COOL WATERS. MOST MODELS
INDICATE THAT DALILA WILL DISSIPATE ENTIRELY IN ABOUT 2 DAYS. THE
NHC FORECAST TRACK FOR THE REMNANT LOW HAS BEEN SHIFTED NORTHWARD
SLIGHTLY WITH THIS ADVISORY, BUT OTHERWISE THE FORECAST IS VERY
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 16/0300Z 18.6N 109.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 16/1200Z 18.7N 110.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 17/0000Z 18.8N 112.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 17/1200Z 18.9N 113.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 18/0000Z 18.5N 116.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
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