524
WTPZ25 KNHC 162051
TCMEP5
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052025
2100 UTC MON JUN 16 2025
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 91.7W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 91.7W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 91.5W
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 11.1N 92.4W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 11.8N 93.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 12.6N 94.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.5N 95.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.5N 96.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.8N 97.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 17.0N 98.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 91.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
FORECASTER BUCCI/MORA/CANO
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