836  
FOPZ15 KNHC 162052  
PWSEP5  
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE-E  
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052025  
2100 UTC MON JUN 16 2025  
 
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE-E WAS LOCATED  
NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)  
 
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)  
 
15N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) X(18)  
 
ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 11(22) X(22)  
ACAPULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)  
ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)  
 
P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) 10(44) X(44)  
P MALDONADO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) X(16)  
P MALDONADO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)  
 
P ANGEL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 63(77) 2(79) X(79)  
P ANGEL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 37(38) 2(40) X(40)  
P ANGEL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 1(14) X(14)  
 
HUATULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 45(48) 3(51) X(51)  
HUATULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) X(12)  
HUATULCO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)  
 
10N 95W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
 
15N 95W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 35(41) 32(73) X(73) X(73)  
15N 95W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 21(28) 1(29) X(29)  
15N 95W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
 
SALINA CRUZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)  
 
TAPACHULA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
P SAN JOSE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
 
FORECASTER BUCCI  
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