270  
FOPZ15 KNHC 170241  
PWSEP5  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052025  
0300 UTC TUE JUN 17 2025  
 
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)  
 
L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12)  
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)  
L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)  
 
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) X(16)  
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)  
ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)  
 
15N 100W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 15(19) 3(22) X(22)  
15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)  
 
ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 5(33) X(33)  
ACAPULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11)  
ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)  
 
P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 46(54) 2(56) X(56)  
P MALDONADO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 2(25) X(25)  
P MALDONADO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)  
 
P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 35(40) 32(72) 1(73) X(73)  
P ANGEL 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 22(28) X(28) X(28)  
P ANGEL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
 
HUATULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 22(34) 1(35) X(35)  
HUATULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)  
 
10N 95W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
15N 95W 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 26(44) 6(50) X(50) X(50)  
15N 95W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10)  
15N 95W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)  
 
SALINA CRUZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
P SAN JOSE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 

 
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  
 
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