392
WTPZ25 KNHC 170845
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052025
0900 UTC TUE JUN 17 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 93.6W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 93.6W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 93.3W
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 12.5N 94.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 13.2N 95.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.0N 96.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.3N 97.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.8N 99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.3N 101.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 20.0N 104.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 93.6W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 17/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
FORECASTER PASCH/GIBBS
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