014
FZPN03 KNHC 171011
HSFEP2
HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE JUN 17 2025
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
SECURITE
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUN 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUN 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUN 19.
.WARNINGS.
..HURRICANE WARNING
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 11.9N 93.6W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC JUN
17 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 12N92.5W TO 12.5N92.5W TO 12.5N93W TO 12.5N93.5W TO
11.5N92.5W TO 12N92.5W SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N90W TO 14N93W TO 13N94W TO 11N94W TO
10N91W TO 11N90W TO 13N90W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.2N 95.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO 14N95W TO 13N96W TO
13N95W TO 13N94W TO 14N94W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N93W TO 14N96W TO 12N96W TO 11N94W TO
12N92W TO 15N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 14.0N 96.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 15.3N 97.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
120 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N95W TO
16N98W TO 15N99W TO 14N98W TO 14N97W TO 15N95W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 4 TO 6 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N96W TO
14N96W TO 16N98W TO 13N99W TO 13N93W TO 15N93W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N119W TO 30N122.5W TO 29.5N122W TO
29N121.5W TO 29N120.5W TO 29.5N119.5W TO 30N119W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N119W TO 30N125W TO 28N124W TO
27N122W TO 28N119W TO 30N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0945 UTC TUE JUN 17...
TROPICAL STORM ERICK
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 11N TO
15N BETWEEN 90W AND 95W. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NE QUADRANT...WITHIN 60 NM OF
THE CENTER IN THE N QUADRANT AND FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND
95W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SE
QUADRANT.
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 12N89W. IT RESUMES
SW OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 10N98W AND CONTINUES TO 13N110W
AND TO 08N125W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N125W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 86W AND 89W.
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE ITCZ W OF 130W.
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
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