516  
FZPN03 KNHC 180348  
HSFEP2  
 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
0430 UTC WED JUN 18 2025  
 
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS  
 
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE  
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE  
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.  
 
SECURITE  
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE  
EQUATOR E OF 120W  
 
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED JUN 18.  
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUN 19.  
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUN 20.  
 
.WARNINGS.  
   
..HURRICANE WARNING
 
 
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.1N 94.9W 998 MB AT 0300 UTC JUN 18  
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT  
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE  
AND 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N  
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE  
WITHIN 14N94W TO 14N96W TO 13N96W TO 12N96W TO 12N95W TO 13N94W  
TO 14N94W NW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA  
WITHIN 14N93W TO 15N95W TO 13N96W TO 11N95W TO 12N93W TO 13N92W  
TO 14N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN SE TO S SWELL.  
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 13.7N 95.7W. MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 14.7N 96.8W. MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS  
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW  
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS 120 NM E  
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH  
SEAS TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N98W TO 14N99W TO  
13N97W TO 13N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N95W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4  
TO 6 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 16N99W TO  
14N100W TO 12N97W TO 12N94W TO 15N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF  
TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED  
SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK INLAND NEAR 17.4N 100.0W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE  
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. OVER  
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 16N99W TO 17N101W TO 16N101W TO 16N100W TO  
16N99W SW TO W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.  
 
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE  
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE  
AND INTENSITY.  
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.  
 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N119.5W TO 30N122W TO 29.5N121.5W TO  
29.5N120.5W TO 29.5N120W TO 30N119.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS  
2.5 TO 3 M IN N SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N119W TO 30N124W TO 28N124W TO  
27N123W TO 28N120W TO 30N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO  
3 M IN N SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N119W TO 30N127W TO 28N127W TO  
27N123W TO 28N120W TO 30N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO  
3 M IN N SWELL.  
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.  
 
CONVECTION VALID AT 0330 UTC WED JUN 18...  
   
TROPICAL STORM ERICK
 
NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE  
CENTER AND WITHIN 90 NM SW OF THE CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE  
TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 90W AND 98W.  
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 09N91W TO 13N91W.  
 
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 96W AND 99W.  
   
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
 
 
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 10N85W TO 11N89W. IT RESUMES SW OF  
TROPICAL STORM ERICK AT 10N100W TO 11N113W TO 09N126W. ITCZ  
FROM 09N126W TO 09N134W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED  
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 101W AND 103W AND  
ALSO W OF 137W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE ITCZ  
BETWEEN 126W AND 137W.  
 

 
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TPC Page Main Text Page