363
WTPZ45 KNHC 200233
TCDEP5
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052025
900 PM CST THU JUN 19 2025
ERICK HAS CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN OVER MEXICO, AS THE SYSTEM IS
NO LONGER PRODUCING ORGANIZED CONVECTION AND THE CIRCULATION HAS
BECOME POORLY DEFINED. BASED ON THESE DEVELOPMENTS, THE CYCLONE IS
DOWNGRADED TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST
ADVISORY. A 12-H FORECAST POINT IS INCLUDED, BUT THE CIRCULATION
MAY WELL DISSIPATE BEFORE 12 H.
ALTHOUGH ERICK IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE, HEAVY RAINS WILL
LINGER OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH
TONIGHT.
THIS IS THE LAST TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM
CAN BE FOUND IN PRODUCTS FROM THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. ERICK WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST MEXICO OVERNIGHT. LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES
ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 20/0300Z 18.0N 100.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
12H 20/1200Z 18.7N 102.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
24H 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER BEVEN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page