363  
WTPZ45 KNHC 200233  
TCDEP5  
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 15  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052025  
900 PM CST THU JUN 19 2025  
 
ERICK HAS CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN OVER MEXICO, AS THE SYSTEM IS  
NO LONGER PRODUCING ORGANIZED CONVECTION AND THE CIRCULATION HAS  
BECOME POORLY DEFINED. BASED ON THESE DEVELOPMENTS, THE CYCLONE IS  
DOWNGRADED TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST  
ADVISORY. A 12-H FORECAST POINT IS INCLUDED, BUT THE CIRCULATION  
MAY WELL DISSIPATE BEFORE 12 H.  
 
ALTHOUGH ERICK IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE, HEAVY RAINS WILL  
LINGER OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH  
TONIGHT.  
 
THIS IS THE LAST TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL  
HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM  
CAN BE FOUND IN PRODUCTS FROM THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO.  
 
 
KEY MESSAGES:  
 
1. ERICK WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF  
SOUTHWEST MEXICO OVERNIGHT. LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES  
ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.  
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS  
 
INIT 20/0300Z 18.0N 100.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND  
12H 20/1200Z 18.7N 102.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND  
24H 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED  
 
 
FORECASTER BEVEN  
 
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