485  
ABPZ20 KNHC 251152  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 AM PDT WED JUN 25 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO (EP95):  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE  
LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA HAVE  
CHANGED LITTLE OVERNIGHT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE  
FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND  
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM IS LIKELY TO FORM BY  
LATE THIS WEEKEND WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD,  
OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER JELSEMA/BLAKE  
 
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