638
ABPZ20 KNHC 261728
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU JUN 26 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO (EP95):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF
GUATEMALA IS BEGINNING TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS
LIKELY TO FORM BY LATE THIS WEEKEND WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
FORECASTER JELSEMA/PASCH
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