755
ABNT20 KNHC 281753
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
BAY OF CAMPECHE (AL91):
RECENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS, SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND RADAR DATA FROM
MEXICO SUGGESTS A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CIRCULATION IS DEVELOPING
WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR
THE MEXICAN COASTLINE. IN ADDITION, SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
IS ALSO STARTING TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. IF THESE TRENDS
CONTINUE, A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM, POSSIBLY AS SOON
AS THIS AFTERNOON, IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST
TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THIS WEEKEND TOWARDS EASTERN
MEXICO, ULTIMATELY MOVING INLAND BY MONDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS EN ROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM, AND
INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN GULF COAST AS SOON AS THIS AFTERNOON.
REGARDLESS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE
ONGOING OVER PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO, AND WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PAPIN
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