651
WTNT42 KNHC 300233
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022025
1000 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY SHOW THAT BARRY BECAME LESS DEFINED
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS, AND THIS HAS MADE THE CENTER
DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. IT IS ESTIMATED THAT THE SYSTEM MADE
LANDFALL AN HOUR OR TWO AGO, TO THE SOUTH OF TAMPICO MEXICO. DEEP
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE HAS DIMINISHED SINCE EARLIER
TODAY. STRONG WESTERLY SHEAR HAS APPARENTLY CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION BY THE TIME IT REACHED THE COAST. THE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS SET TO 30 KT, WHICH IS IN AGREEMENT
WITH A DVORAK T-NUMBER FROM TAFB.
BARRY'S INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS STILL NORTHWESTWARD, OR 320/8
KT, WHILE BEING STEERED BY THE FLOW TO THE WEST OF A HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS LIKELY TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS, TAKING THE SYSTEM FARTHER
INLAND. BARRY SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF
MEXICO ON MONDAY.
THE PRIMARY IMPACT WITH BARRY REMAINS HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH
FLOODING FOR THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF EASTERN MEXICO. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST FORECAST RAINFALL GRAPHIC FROM THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
INTERNATIONAL DESK FOR MORE INFORMATION.
KEY MESSAGE:
1. BARRY OR ITS REMNANTS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO THROUGH MONDAY. LIFE-THREATENING
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY IN AREAS OF STEEP
TERRAIN.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 30/0300Z 22.0N 97.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
12H 30/1200Z 22.7N 98.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
24H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER PASCH
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