206  
FOPZ11 KNHC 020252  
PWSEP1  
 
HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062025  
0300 UTC WED JUL 02 2025  
 
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 3( 4) 7(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)  
 
SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
MAZATLAN 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
SAN BLAS 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
20N 110W 34 8 87(95) 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)  
20N 110W 50 1 68(69) 15(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)  
20N 110W 64 X 38(38) 14(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)  
 
ISLA SOCORRO 34 3 29(32) 7(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)  
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)  
 
ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)  
 

 
FORECASTER BUCCI  
 
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