834
WTPZ31 KNHC 020834
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FLOSSIE ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062025
200 AM MST WED JUL 02 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES DISCONTINUED FOR ALL OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 108.3W
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 108.3 WEST. FLOSSIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH (185 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FLOSSIE IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THIS
MORNING, WITH RAPID WEAKENING EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY THE END OF THE
DAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES (35 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES
(150 KM).
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB (28.41 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR HURRICANE FLOSSIE CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP1 AND WMO HEADER
WTPZ41 KNHC.
RAINFALL: HURRICANE FLOSSIE SHOULD PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES, WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 3 INCHES,
ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF MICHOACáN, COLIMA,
AND JALISCO THROUGH TODAY. THIS RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE FLOSSIE, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP1.SHTML?RAINQPF
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY FLOSSIE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO, AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 AM MST.
FORECASTER JELSEMA
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